October 2015 Global Outlook – Collision

Years ago, the seeds were sown. Governments began an untenable trend of consistently spending more money than they collected in taxes. The difference of course, was made up by borrowing. As the years and deficits rolled along, so too did the amount of money owing. Governments responded by borrowing even…


Years ago, the seeds were sown.

Governments began an untenable trend of consistently spending more money than they collected in taxes. The difference of course, was made up by borrowing. As the years and deficits rolled along, so too did the amount of money owing. Governments responded by borrowing even more.

Meanwhile, global economies inevitably experienced varying crises. Governments and central banks always responded the same way – even more spending (and borrowing), and lower interest rates to stimulate growth.

Today, we’ve reached a dead-end.

Governments continue to borrow, but only because interest rates have been reduced to 0% AND because they are borrowing from themselves by printing money.

This dead-end is also compounded by a slowing global economy caused by the reluctance of private investors to spend.

In this issue of the IceCap Global Outlook, we prepare investors for a collision between:

  1. a slowing economy,
  2. 0% and negative% interest rates,
  3. an unsustainable debt binge.

What happens next hasn’t occurred before in our lifetime – and this is why many investors will be blindsided.

SlideShare / IceCap Asset Management – via Iframely

Alternatively you may download this Global Outlook:
2015.10 IceCap Global Market Outlook


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