July 5, 2024
The Housing Bubble is Slowly Deflating
Home sales in Vancouver and Toronto plummet. Policy makers are doubling down on bad policy. Stories of financial stress are mounting. ISM services index fallls to levels last seen during the depths of the pandemic. The presidential election heats up.
June 21, 2024
Record Short Position on the Canadian Dollar
Cities are taking housing accelerator funds and then raising development fees to crush supply. Canada’s population surges again. Living standards have not improved in 7 years. Government muzzles oil and gas companies from promoting fossil fuels. Speculators have a record short position on the Loonie.
June 14, 2024
Hawkish Powell Says Fed Will Only Cut Rates Once
US CPI data came in softer than expected but that didn’t sway the fed. Projections now call for one cut this year. Producer prices are outright declining. Canadian housing can’t be fixed, surging taxes killing development. The pendulum is swinging to the right as voters reject the status quo.
May 31, 2024
Canadian Households Need to Adjust to Higher Mortgage Rate – w/ guest Doug Porter
We are joined by BMO’s chief economist Doug Porter. The Bank of Canada will cut, probably in June. Don’t expect bond yields or fixed mortgage rates to budge. Inflation is nearly defeated in Canada, but not the United States. Weak investment in Canada to continue with capital gain increases.
May 24, 2024
Inflation Drops Ahead of Bank of Canada Meeting
CPI Drops back within the Bank of Canada’s target range, will it be enough for a cut in June? Population growth surges with some cities growing more than 6%. Air BnB bands will hit the tourism sector in some Canadian cities.
May 17, 2024
Markets Melt Higher as Economic Data Weakens
US CPI cooled last month, along with retail sales. Canadian job numbers surprise to the upside giving further hesitation for the Bank of Canada. Banning China EVs batteries, and solar panels despite war on climate change? Financial markets drift higher.
May 10, 2024
The Central Bank Endgame – w/ guest Grant William
Governments are broke, and central banks are trying to maintain the illusion of stability. The next decade will not be like the last one, prepare for volatility. Inflation, interest rates, and political risk abound. House prices have created massive inequality and threaten social stability. Where do we go from here,…
May 3, 2024
Currency Crisis in Japan?
The Japanese Yen has fallen almost 50% against the US dollar since 2020. Attempts to intervene are failing. The USD needs to go lower through Fed easing. The Bank of Canada desperately wants to cut. GDP on a per capita basis is still contracting. mortgage renewals finally starting to bite?…
April 26, 2024
How China is Interfering in Canadian Elections, Exposing Corruption w/ guest Sam Cooper
How China is interfering in federal elections in Canada, spreading fentanyl, and exacerbating a housing crisis. Special interview with independent journalist Sam Cooper. Check out Sam’s book WIllful Blindness. We also discuss markets pricing out fed rate cuts, weak Canadian retail sales, and stagflation concerns.
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