Featuring Keith Dicker, Steve Saretsky, and Richard Dias

The Loonie Hour

The Loonie Hour is a Canadian based global macro and geopolitical podcast covering newsworthy events across the globe and how they will impact Canadians.

September 2, 2022

Bank of Canada To Deliver Another Jumbo Rate Hike Next Week

Twinkies are on the line, as the gents place their wagers for the Bank of Canada next week. A surprise miss on Q2 GDP in Canada suggests further weakness for Q3. No Fed pivot coming suggests more pain ahead as the bear market rally fades.  …

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August 26, 2022

Canadian Banks Positioning for Soft Landing?

Canadian banks announced earnings and are increasing their loan loss provisions, but likely not enough considering the outlook for the nations housing market. The Canadian dollar continues to perform well thanks to the energy bull market. Europe is bracing for a deep recession and a full blown energy crisis.  …

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August 19, 2022

Canadian Housing Market Dropping at Quickest Pace since 1980’s

Seasonally adjusted average house prices have now dropped the most since the 1980’s. Inflation is subsiding but central banks are determined to push ahead, even if it means creating a recession. China is facing deep economic issues and cut interest rates. Inflation hits double digits in England and Germany turns…

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August 12, 2022

Bear Market Rally On Softer Inflation Data

US inflation has made the turn and is now trending lower, but will it fall enough to allow central banks to pivot? Markets are ripping on potentially false hopes. Commodities continue to look favourable over the medium term, and more bearish predictions for the Canadian housing market.  …

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August 5, 2022

Bubbles Are Bursting in Two of the Largest Housing Markets

Will the Central banks cave on their inflation mandate in the eyes of weakening economic data? The Bank of England just raised interest rates 50bps and says a recession is all but guaranteed for the fourth quarter and that it will last well into next year. The Canadian housing market…

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July 29, 2022

The Recession is Here, When Will Central Banks Pivot?

The US federal Reserve raised interest rates another 75bps. More interestingly is that Powell will be removing forward guidance, and all future rate hikes are now data dependent. The US then recorded the second consecutive quarter of negative GDP, indicating a technical recession. Bond yields are falling on the news,…

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July 22, 2022

The End of Negative Rates In Europe & Bank Runs in China

CPI inflation in Canada came in at a 40 year high, but was below market expectations. Has inflation peaked from a rate of change perspective? Meanwhile, in the economic fantasy land that is the European Union, the ECB raised rates by 50bps, brining interest rates to zero. The end of…

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July 15, 2022

Bank of Canada Shocks Markets With Largest Rate Hike in 24 Years

The Bank of Canada shocked markets with a 100bps rate hike, the largest rate hike since 1998. Variable rate mortgages are going up and we could soon see fixed payment mortgages get triggered with sudden payment increases. Meanwhile, the USD continues to be the global wrecking ball as investors take…

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July 8, 2022

Food Inflation Leading To Social Unrest Across The World

Fixed Mortgage rates appear to have finally peaked and are now moving lower as markets price in an economic recession. The first major Canadian bank has now unveiled a recession call for 2023, will the other banks follow? Energy prices, rampant food inflation, and government policy are creating social unrest…

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