Featuring Keith Dicker, Steve Saretsky, and Richard Dias

The Loonie Hour

The Loonie Hour is a Canadian based global macro and geopolitical podcast covering newsworthy events across the globe and how they will impact Canadians.

July 29, 2022

The Recession is Here, When Will Central Banks Pivot?

The US federal Reserve raised interest rates another 75bps. More interestingly is that Powell will be removing forward guidance, and all future rate hikes are now data dependent. The US then recorded the second consecutive quarter of negative GDP, indicating a technical recession. Bond yields are falling on the news,…

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July 22, 2022

The End of Negative Rates In Europe & Bank Runs in China

CPI inflation in Canada came in at a 40 year high, but was below market expectations. Has inflation peaked from a rate of change perspective? Meanwhile, in the economic fantasy land that is the European Union, the ECB raised rates by 50bps, brining interest rates to zero. The end of…

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July 15, 2022

Bank of Canada Shocks Markets With Largest Rate Hike in 24 Years

The Bank of Canada shocked markets with a 100bps rate hike, the largest rate hike since 1998. Variable rate mortgages are going up and we could soon see fixed payment mortgages get triggered with sudden payment increases. Meanwhile, the USD continues to be the global wrecking ball as investors take…

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July 8, 2022

Food Inflation Leading To Social Unrest Across The World

Fixed Mortgage rates appear to have finally peaked and are now moving lower as markets price in an economic recession. The first major Canadian bank has now unveiled a recession call for 2023, will the other banks follow? Energy prices, rampant food inflation, and government policy are creating social unrest…

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July 1, 2022

Are We Already In A Recession?

Latest data from the Atlanta Fed is suggesting we might already be in a recession. Meanwhile, home sales continue to slow in suburban housing markets, and stresses are rising in the corporate bond market with spreads widening to levels last seen in 2018 when the Fed was forced to pivot.

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June 24, 2022

Are Markets Finally Pricing In An Economic Downturn?

Canada’s inflation rate ripped higher once again, hitting 7.7% year-over-year and surpassing market expectations yet the 5 year bond yield fell on the news and has been declining in recent weeks. Have we seen a top in bond yields? Price action across commodities also suggests the inflation story may now…

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June 17, 2022

Sovereign Debt Bubbles Ready To Pop

The Bank of Canada Threatens To Break The Housing Market The Federal Reserve raises rates by 75bps the largest rate hike since 1994. The Swiss National Bank also shocked with a 50bps rate hike. Sovereign debt bubbles are now facing immense pressure, particularly in Europe and Japan. The crypto market…

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June 10, 2022

The Bank of Canada Threatens To Break The Housing Market

More hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of Canada as they prep for another rate hike. Mortgage rates in Canada are now at their hightest levels in 2008 and some banks are pulling the cord. Meanwhile, the Euro Zone preps for to hike rates to zero as inflation surges.  …

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June 3, 2022

Will The Bank of Canada Get Interest Rates To 3% This Year

The Bank of Canada raised interest rates another 50bps this week. They remain very hawkish and suggest that interest rates may need to go north of 3% in order to get inflation down. Meanwhile, housing in Canada continues to slow. Financial repression continues in Europe and debt forgiveness in the…

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